Choose a single metric that best reflects habitual value creation, such as weekly active users, net revenue retention, or qualified demos. Use that metric to judge whether capital will amplify cause-and-effect or merely add burn. A founder in Lisbon replaced vanity signups with activation rate, and instantly clarified whether angels or grants were the better first step.
Calculate true runway by including hiring plans, seasonality, payment delays, and realistic sales cycles. Then sequence two or three milestones that materially reduce risk, like hitting repeatable acquisition cost or meeting a technical readiness level. Map each funding route to those milestones. If a route cannot finance them comfortably, it is not a route, it is a mirage.
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